A vicious cycle to a contagious virus
We’re normally circumspect about the “EM contagion” narrative as it usually ends up being more headline noise than substance, but this time we’re paying closer attention
Market Insights
A virtuous circle to a vicious cycle in emerging markets
What does the yield on a 3 month US T Bill have to do with the price of a holiday in Argentina? Plenty, if you follow the chain of events that have driven capital flows since the 2008 financial crisis.
In Focus: Ardea Real Outcome Fund
Watch this Livewire video to learn more about the Real Outcome Fund and the team’s investment process.
A big night out for credit markets
This Livewire exclusive discusses the changing dynamics in credit markets and why this could be very disruptive.
The US economy is running hot
For the first time in recent history there are now more job openings than job seekers
Opportunities in Australian money markets
Distortions in short-term money markets are giving rise to attractive, low-risk investment opportunities for fixed income managers.
Ghosting in the US job market
We’ve covered US wage growth and the resulting upside risk to inflation in a number of prior commentaries and now see more leading indicators suggesting that theme is accelerating.
Low yields + rising volatility = a toxic combination for bonds
Recent volatility in Japanese government bonds (JGB) highlights the fact that government bonds aren’t so ‘safe’ when yields are very low.
Bank Bill Swap Rate – June update
Tamar Hamlyn discusses rising bank bill rates as an indicator of liquidity pressures.
Australian Rate Hike Expectations Collapse
The RBA has been signalling for some time now that the next move in rates, when it eventually comes, will be up rather than down.